Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 53.026112 62.233555 72.288517 84.048312 97.386932 112.007995 129.207736
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 39.351000 51.671639 66.390471 85.111532 108.115469 135.275906 169.569094
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 29.951326 43.069223 59.901094 82.746355 112.563710 149.745540 199.142663
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 24.518439 38.085457 56.567005 83.022214 119.263817 166.442985 231.641006
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 20.823136 34.651210 54.508237 84.271133 126.756871 184.092411 265.947132
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 16.108792 28.838635 48.157427 78.519252 123.705721 186.920022 280.114712
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 14.225876 27.040191 47.377876 80.572058 131.619427 205.054562 316.021373
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.087075 24.437896 44.955572 79.739539 134.998957 216.700714 343.155718
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.413659 24.239384 46.326975 84.895740 147.719892 242.565779 392.051501
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.248085 20.961656 42.108490 80.473712 144.998025 245.021696 406.303977
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.495344 20.240430 42.216334 83.243076 153.897183 265.568607 448.646049
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.306338 20.610517 44.307183 89.570188 168.996914 296.465710 508.175004
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.646422 20.044560 44.864898 93.735404 181.636345 325.546990 568.631533
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.637575 18.560568 43.528563 94.432693 188.595000 346.257868 617.644862
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.470362 16.448636 40.616024 91.802578 189.402479 356.800551 650.785354
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.741884 15.217416 39.320722 92.098871 195.401540 376.263686 699.352338
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.198400 14.328148 38.618092 93.461679 203.400952 399.500961 755.221384
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.243256 12.064880 34.459440 87.180588 196.318050 395.887163 765.330827
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.932527 11.565153 34.331112 89.422931 205.883702 422.294565 828.179442
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.500941 10.576020 32.850984 88.513636 209.065691 437.247912 871.632485
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.422451 10.707691 34.216013 94.143335 225.881666 478.067228 962.522304
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.920115 9.249392 31.201017 89.315521 220.700230 477.564283 979.395315
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.777092 9.031592 31.493527 92.339420 232.238341 509.212663 1055.781194